Even NYC might not have peaked yet. It seems they reported yesterday the second highest number of cases ever
It’s become difficult to know whose data to rely on the most. In many cases, the data are qualified (by the source) with the caveat that it’s not yet complete, lagging by several days due to delays in reporting, etc. When the trends are downward for more than a week or two, and generally agree between sources, we can be more certain that a (local or regional) peak has passed.
The highest one-day total was on 12/27. I don’t think there’s a more authoritative source than the NYC health department. This roughly matches the South Africa timeline.
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page#daily
Yes, but note the caveat on this graphic in the fine print below the title.
Sure looks like a real peak, though, which would be very good news.
Cases in South Africa have definitely peaked and are steadily declining.
Your observation of the comparable timing (timeline) between NYC and South Africa case trajectories is interesting.
The graph is only covering until 1/3 (which was up to the holiday weekend which generated everywhere unreliable numbers. Other sites which cover NYC throughout this week show increased numbers compared to 1/3
The graph has data for up to last Monday that they received through yesterday. Having watched that page for a while, despite the disclaimer I doubt there’s much more data yet to come in from the holdays.
Interesting charts, they’ve normalized cases and deaths / hospitalizations to their past peaks.
Once again, the deliberately unvaccinated are leading us down the path of overloaded health care systems. I have no sympathy for any of them, just disgust.
Since vaccines became available, those who are vaccinated have been far less likely to be hospitalized with severe Covid-19 than those who are unvaccinated. Early data from New York City shows that the vaccination gap in hospitalizations became even wider during the first weeks of the city’s Omicron surge.
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Beware of fake Covid testing sites
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As sad as it sounds to really be able to overcome the pandemic in the long run we need vaccination equality (rich countries have to support poor countries financially so that everybody gets vaccinated) and vaccination mandates (or if these are not doable in some countries, we have to hope for a variant with similar infection rate as omicron but much more severe disease outcome so that unvaccinated people will really experience the consequences of their stupidity and be part of a “natural/evolutionary” solution
Is there any obvious way to determine ahead of time if it’s fake?
Are some of the Covid testing sites on the state’s list fake?
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/Nearby/index.html?appid=43118dc0d5d348d8ab20a81967a15401
First US (Southern California) data on omicron seems to be inline with South Africa, London
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A slight hope that maybe the surge (at least in terms of case positivity) might be on its way out (in LA)?
Edit: from the LA County daily COVID page:
http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/media/coronavirus/data/
Where? and whose chart is that? Please don’t post that sort of thing without including basic information.
Regarding daily data:
If you could add all those numbers up — and you can’t — case counts would likely be substantially higher. For that reason, The Associated Press has recently told its editors and reporters to avoid emphasizing case counts in stories about the disease. That means, for example, no more stories focused solely on a particular country or state setting a one-day record for number of cases, because that claim has become unreliable
Fucking innumerate English majors. If the one-day record is an undercount, that’s even bigger news.
Added more info and link.
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I had a diff reaction to the article.
My takeaway was that the editors don’t want the articles to be about clickbait-y and overly simplistic snapshots of very limited datasets that can then cause more confusion (and possibly dissension) among readers.
They want more context and nuance and less “lazy” reporting.
I think those are all good things.
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